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Distribution of X-FIN Ratings

Index Stocks
rated
Rated
buy
Rated
sell
Rated
hold
USA Dow Jones Industrial Avg
29
28%
55%
17%
USA S&P 500 Index
455
18%
64%
18%
USA S&P 400 Midcap Index
352
17%
70%
12%
USA S&P 600 Smallcap Index
534
24%
63%
13%
USA S&P 100 Index
93
19%
60%
20%
USA NASDAQ-100
89
29%
43%
28%
USA NASDAQ Biotechnology
116
16%
77%
7%
USA NASDAQ Computer
340
20%
69%
12%
USA NASDAQ Financial 100
45
36%
44%
20%
USA NASDAQ Industrial
870
23%
65%
12%
USA NASDAQ Insurance
42
64%
17%
19%
USA NASDAQ Other Finance
108
24%
64%
12%
USA NASDAQ Telecommunic.
103
15%
69%
17%
USA NASDAQ Transportation
50
26%
58%
16%
USA NYSE Energy
142
27%
54%
18%
USA NYSE Financial
280
31%
64%
5%
USA NYSE Healthcare
77
8%
84%
8%
USA NYSE TMT
87
11%
74%
15%
USA NYSE International 100
73
22%
70%
8%
USA NYSE US 100
87
17%
70%
13%
USA NYSE World Leaders
160
19%
70%
11%
Canada S&P/TSX Composite
233
18%
73%
9%
Canada S&P/TSX Venture Comp.
158
31%
61%
8%

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Performance of stocks in different rating categories

Select period:

Select stock index:

Include: all stocks   only stocks with high confidence level of valuation

Parameter Stocks rated Sell and Str.Sell (SSS) at start of the period Stocks rated Buy and Str.Buy (BSB) at start of the period Difference
BSB - SSS
 Period performance -4.55% -3.17% +1.38%
 Number of Stocks 136 26  
Here we monitor how well our stock valuation model works. Stocks with high confidence level of valuation are the ones with good quality and consistency of the input data (i.e. financial statements). The results of the valuation are not adjusted in any way - just raw data put through the model.

Stock market price movement validation

Stock prices do not always move towards stock intrinsic values. Though over a long period of time and for a large sample group they definitely do - the performance of stocks in our different rating categories attest to that (see the table in the top left corner of this page).

While analyzing this phenomenon, we noticed that instances of the divergence could be used to predict price movements of the stock market: market prices of stocks and their intrinsic values will converge.

We used this premise to built an absolutely unprecedented stock market indicator - we call it Validation index. If it moves in the same direction as the stock market, then the market price movement is validated. If the two move in the opposite directions, then the price movement of the stock market is not confirmed and, therefore, a movement in the opposite direction could be expected.

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