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RANDOM STOCK PICKS

GLP - Global Partners  
sell

Global Partners LP, a midstream logistics and marketing company, distributes gasoline, distillates, residual oil, and renewable fuels to wholesalers, retailers, and commercial customers in the New England states and New York. It operates in three segments: Wholesale, Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations, and Co...

SOHO - Sotherly Hotels  
str.buy

...

HLI - Houlihan Lokey Cl A  
hold

Houlihan Lokey, Inc., an investment banking company, provides corporate finance, financial restructuring, and financial advisory services in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. The company’s corporate finance services include provision of advisory services fo...

GBR - New Concept Energy  
sell

...

NTIP - Network-1 Technologies  
str.buy

...

Value investing shop

X-FIN.com is often described by its visitors as a treasure trove for value investors. We offer here our own proprietary stock valuation and stock selection tools that are not available anywhere else. What's important, these tools have proved to be effective. You can check their performance yourself - the information is all here. Please let us know what you think!

Best stock screeners

Screener Backtesting on 2015 Screen
stocks perform. chart
 universal 95 +20.2%
 growth 113 +19.0%
 income 32 +24.1%

Our ratings 2015 performance (all non-fin. U.S. stocks)

performance in 2015
more information on performance

S&P 500 price movement validation

validation index
about validation index
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Valuation table - Indices

Stock index Index-related info Distribution of X-FIN ratings
Current
value
Intrinsic
value
Up/down
pot'l, %
Stocks
rated
Rated
buy
Rated
sell
Rated
hold
Most
undervalued
Most
overvalued
 USA Dow Jones Industrial Avg 17774 17685
-1
29 28% 52% 21% premium content premium content
 USA S&P 500 Index 2065 2074 0 464 27% 56% 17% premium content premium content
 USA S&P 400 Midcap Index 1462 1364
-7
356 28% 59% 13% premium content premium content
 USA S&P 600 Smallcap Index 695 652
-6
531 30% 54% 16% premium content premium content
 USA S&P 100 Index 915 936
+2
92 28% 48% 24% premium content premium content
 Canada S&P/TSX Composite 13951 12641
-9
208 25% 64% 11% premium content premium content
  FTSE 100 6242 5273
-16
91 32% 56% 12% premium content premium content
  DAX 10039 9822
-2
22 32% 59% 9% premium content premium content
  CAC 40 Index 4429 4107
-7
35 37% 54% 9% premium content premium content

Valuation table - Sectors

Sector Average stock up/down
potential, %
Distribution of X-FIN ratings
Stocks
rated
Rated
buy
Rated
sell
Rated
hold
Most
undervalued
Most
overvalued
  Energy
-21
357 22% 71% 7% premium content premium content
  Basic Materials
-12
242 26% 69% 5% premium content premium content
  Industrials
+7
619 32% 51% 17% premium content premium content
  Cyclical Consumer Goods
+18
584 36% 49% 14% premium content premium content
  Non-Cyclical Cons. Goods
-2
214 28% 61% 11% premium content premium content
  Healthcare
-10
489 24% 65% 12% premium content premium content
  Technology
+15
620 36% 50% 14% premium content premium content
  Telecommunications
+41
80 43% 51% 6% premium content premium content
  Utilities
-13
111 16% 79% 5% premium content premium content

Site news

[2016-03-29]   Do you want to know how much money you are reasonably expected to have in your investment account in the future depending on the asset allocation split you chose? We've just added two calculators to the Asset allocation section of the site that allow you to do just that. These are very important tools for planning your financial future.


[2016-03-14]   We've just started coverage of U.K. stocks. The valuation table for the FTSE 100 index is here: FTSE 100.


[2016-02-28]   We've just significantly expanded our coverage of German stocks by including all companies from the Prime Standard list of Frankfurt Stock Exchange that are traded on XETRA. The table with valuation results for all stocks is here: Frankfurt Stock Exchange.



[2016-02-25]   Today we updated valuations of U.S. and Canadian stocks. Due to unimpressive 4th quarter financial results, many of them were downgraded. This led to downward revisions of our assessments of intrinsic values of corresponding stock indices. On the face of it, at present the stock market seems to be fairly valued. That the intrinsic valuations of stock indices came so close to their actual values was a surprise to us - there was no any adjustment whatsoever of any sort to our valuation methodology. Please be aware, though, that intrinsic value of a stock index on a stand-alone basis should not be used for investment decisions: what is important is relative valuation of one index versus the other, as it allows identification of over- or undervalued sectors and national markets.


[2016-02-25]   We are resuming the "Site news" column of the site as it answers many questions regarding changes to the valuation model, ratings, and serves as a good notifications board for site additions and modifications.


[2015-06-18]   Today we've added three companies to our model 'buy' portfolio of U.S. stocks. Their past performance has affected the overall reading on the whole portfolio by weighing it down. That's how the system is set up - what matters is how these stocks will fare in the future. The calculation algorithm also assumes that the portfolio is equally weighted (i.e. the same amount of money is invested in each stock) at the beginning of each monitored period. It is an oversimplification, of course, but helps in comparative analysis of each stock performance.


[2015-06-16]   We've just added X-FIN model portfolio of 'buy' and 'sell' stocks to the list of indices in the performance monitoring table in the top right corner of the home page. The 'buy' portfolio is up 36% and the 'sell' one is down more than 8% since March 1. A 'buy-sell' hedge strategy would have resulted in almost 45% gain over the past three and a half months. The portfolio composition is not available through our premium access subscription, though, as it falls into a different product category - portfolio management. We have not decided yet on pricing for this product. If you are interested, please contact us.


[2015-05-29]   We've just introduced an entirely new metric for identification of market overbought and oversold conditions - the stock market validation index. It is a unique measure of the market, as it is based on intrinsic value of stocks and has nothing to do with technical analysis. Even though we are confident of the capacity of the validation index to predict stock market movements also over the short-term horizon, we do not have yet enough statistical data to prove it. So, we would recommend to use its indications with caution.


[2015-05-10]   We've introduced a stock valuation range - it is shown at the stock analysis page just below the intrinsic value. As you can see, for most of the stocks the range is very wide, as even small changes in some key input parameters have very large effect on the valuation result. The intrinsic value number is the valuation result at our best estimate what input parameters should be. The valuation range is the result of plausible variations in the input parameters. A word of caution regarding application of the valuation range. Do not use it for stock screening purposes. By doing so you invariably diminish your chances of outperforming the market. The stock intrinsic value number is the best estimate of its fundamental value as it is calculated based on the most probable input variable numbers. You can greatly improve your performance by analysing and adjusting the input variables.


[2015-05-07]   Earlier today we introduced a portfolio monitoring service. It is offered free of charge to all registered visitors. Later on, we plan to add to it email notification whenever there is a change in intrinsic value estimation for any stock in the visitor's portfolio. That service will be available to premium access subscribers.

Stock market value investing

X-FIN.com is a leading independent value investing web site. We provide investors with the best stock valuation methodology and allow them to calculate online intrinsic values of common stocks using automatically-fed financial data and a set of changeable assumptions.

Our goal is to be the most authoritative source on common stock valuation and provide the best analytical tools for a growing audience of self-directed value investors.

Intrinsic value (which is also often called 'fundamental value') of a company and its common stock is calculated here using the Chepakovich Valuation Model - the most advanced general valuation model built on a robust theoretical foundation.

Intrinsic value of a stock is defined as the present value of future cash flows an investor in a company's common stock reasonably expects to receive as a return on his investment and compensation for the risk associated with equity investment in that particular company.

There are many uncertainties in regard to magnitude and timing of these future cash flows and any estimation of intrinsic value by anyone should be treated with a fair amount of caution: nobody knows what will happen in the future.

There is no guarantee that the company's stock will ever trade at the level of its intrinsic value estimation, but there is plenty of evidence that the stock's market price and its intrinsic value tend to converge.

Value investing as a distinctive discipline was first formulated by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd who began teaching it at Columbia Business School in 1928. In 1934 they published a book on this subject, Security Analysis, which is considered to be the bible of the value investor. The value investment methodology served very well many generations of stock market investors, but the most spectacular results of adhering to this straightforward and intuitive investment concept were achieved by Warren Buffett.

The value investing concept is fairly simple, but its implementation is far from it. This is where X-FIN.com with its sophisticated stock valuation model and up-to-date financial data of individual companies can help. By applying the same valuation algorithm, the model excludes any personal subjectivity and allows objective comparison of different stocks.

Please be aware, though, that the valuation result is only as good as the quality of the model's input data, especially the one related to expected future performance of the company. So, please make sure that the valuation model input parameters conform to your expectations of what that performance will be.

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