Intrinsic value of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated - ATI

Previous Close

$25.72

  Intrinsic Value

$91.71

stock screener

  Rating & Target

str. buy

+257%

Previous close

$25.72

 
Intrinsic value

$91.71

 
Up/down potential

+257%

 
Rating

str. buy

We calculate the intrinsic value of ATI stock by summing up the current values of future distributable cash flows generated by the company and dividing the sum by the number of outstanding shares. As such, the intrinsic value calculation depends entirely on projections. The more accurate your projections of the company's performance are - the more reliable is the intrinsic value calculation result. Please make sure to check the stock valuation input data below and adjust it if necessary. The quality of the output (intrinsic valuation result) is only as good as the quality of the input. See also DISCLAIMERS.

STOCK VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue (in 0001), $M
Initial revenue growth rate, %
Terminal revenue growth rate, %
Revenue decline factor
Initial discount rate, %
Discount rate multiplier
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, $M
Interest rate on debt, %
Effective corporate tax rate, %
Production assets / Revenue, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Working capital / Revenue, %
Revenue / Adjusted assets
Adjusted equity ratio
Cash flow adjustment, % of Revenue
Book value of equity, $M
Shares outstanding, mln
Market capitalization, $bln 3.2

 

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   9
   10
   11
   12
   13
   14
   15
   16
   17
   18
   19
   20
   21
   22
   23
   24
   25
   26
   27
   28
   29
   30
   31

INCOME STATEMENT

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue growth rate, %
  14.10
  13.19
  12.37
  11.63
  10.97
  10.37
  9.84
  9.35
  8.92
  8.53
  8.17
  7.86
  7.57
  7.31
  7.08
  6.87
  6.69
  6.52
  6.37
  6.23
  6.11
  6.00
  5.90
  5.81
  5.73
  5.65
  5.59
  5.53
  5.48
  5.43
Revenue, $m
  4,618
  5,227
  5,873
  6,557
  7,276
  8,031
  8,821
  9,645
  10,506
  11,401
  12,333
  13,302
  14,309
  15,355
  16,443
  17,573
  18,748
  19,970
  21,241
  22,564
  23,942
  25,378
  26,874
  28,434
  30,062
  31,762
  33,537
  35,391
  37,329
  39,356
Variable operating expenses, $m
  2,592
  2,927
  3,283
  3,658
  4,054
  4,469
  4,903
  5,356
  5,829
  6,322
  6,780
  7,313
  7,867
  8,442
  9,040
  9,661
  10,307
  10,979
  11,678
  12,405
  13,163
  13,952
  14,775
  15,633
  16,528
  17,462
  18,438
  19,457
  20,523
  21,637
Fixed operating expenses, $m
  1,468
  1,500
  1,533
  1,567
  1,601
  1,636
  1,672
  1,709
  1,747
  1,785
  1,824
  1,865
  1,906
  1,947
  1,990
  2,034
  2,079
  2,125
  2,171
  2,219
  2,268
  2,318
  2,369
  2,421
  2,474
  2,529
  2,584
  2,641
  2,699
  2,759
Total operating expenses, $m
  4,060
  4,427
  4,816
  5,225
  5,655
  6,105
  6,575
  7,065
  7,576
  8,107
  8,604
  9,178
  9,773
  10,389
  11,030
  11,695
  12,386
  13,104
  13,849
  14,624
  15,431
  16,270
  17,144
  18,054
  19,002
  19,991
  21,022
  22,098
  23,222
  24,396
Operating income, $m
  558
  800
  1,058
  1,332
  1,621
  1,926
  2,245
  2,580
  2,930
  3,294
  3,728
  4,124
  4,537
  4,966
  5,413
  5,878
  6,362
  6,866
  7,392
  7,940
  8,511
  9,108
  9,730
  10,381
  11,061
  11,771
  12,515
  13,293
  14,107
  14,960
EBITDA, $m
  774
  1,037
  1,318
  1,616
  1,931
  2,262
  2,610
  2,973
  3,353
  3,750
  4,163
  4,593
  5,041
  5,507
  5,992
  6,497
  7,022
  7,570
  8,140
  8,735
  9,355
  10,002
  10,677
  11,383
  12,120
  12,890
  13,696
  14,540
  15,422
  16,347
Interest expense (income), $m
  127
  102
  135
  171
  209
  249
  292
  336
  383
  431
  482
  535
  590
  647
  706
  768
  832
  898
  968
  1,040
  1,115
  1,193
  1,274
  1,358
  1,446
  1,538
  1,634
  1,734
  1,839
  1,948
  2,062
Earnings before tax, $m
  456
  665
  887
  1,123
  1,372
  1,634
  1,909
  2,197
  2,498
  2,812
  3,193
  3,535
  3,890
  4,260
  4,645
  5,046
  5,463
  5,899
  6,352
  6,825
  7,319
  7,834
  8,372
  8,934
  9,522
  10,137
  10,780
  11,454
  12,159
  12,898
Tax expense, $m
  123
  179
  239
  303
  370
  441
  515
  593
  675
  759
  862
  954
  1,050
  1,150
  1,254
  1,362
  1,475
  1,593
  1,715
  1,843
  1,976
  2,115
  2,260
  2,412
  2,571
  2,737
  2,911
  3,093
  3,283
  3,482
Net income, $m
  333
  485
  647
  820
  1,001
  1,193
  1,394
  1,604
  1,824
  2,053
  2,331
  2,580
  2,840
  3,110
  3,391
  3,683
  3,988
  4,306
  4,637
  4,982
  5,343
  5,719
  6,112
  6,522
  6,951
  7,400
  7,870
  8,361
  8,876
  9,415

BALANCE SHEET

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and short-term investments, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Total assets, $m
  6,274
  7,101
  7,980
  8,908
  9,886
  10,911
  11,984
  13,105
  14,274
  15,491
  16,757
  18,073
  19,441
  20,863
  22,341
  23,876
  25,473
  27,133
  28,860
  30,658
  32,530
  34,480
  36,513
  38,634
  40,846
  43,155
  45,566
  48,086
  50,719
  53,472
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m
  6,274
  7,101
  7,980
  8,908
  9,886
  10,911
  11,984
  13,105
  14,274
  15,491
  16,757
  18,073
  19,441
  20,863
  22,341
  23,876
  25,473
  27,133
  28,860
  30,658
  32,530
  34,480
  36,513
  38,634
  40,846
  43,155
  45,566
  48,086
  50,719
  53,472
Revenue / Adjusted assets
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
  0.736
Average production assets, $m
  3,140
  3,554
  3,994
  4,458
  4,948
  5,461
  5,998
  6,559
  7,144
  7,753
  8,386
  9,045
  9,730
  10,442
  11,181
  11,950
  12,749
  13,579
  14,444
  15,344
  16,281
  17,257
  18,274
  19,335
  20,442
  21,598
  22,805
  24,066
  25,384
  26,762
Working capital, $m
  1,182
  1,338
  1,504
  1,678
  1,863
  2,056
  2,258
  2,469
  2,689
  2,919
  3,157
  3,405
  3,663
  3,931
  4,209
  4,499
  4,799
  5,112
  5,438
  5,776
  6,129
  6,497
  6,880
  7,279
  7,696
  8,131
  8,585
  9,060
  9,556
  10,075
Total debt, $m
  2,048
  2,592
  3,169
  3,779
  4,421
  5,095
  5,800
  6,536
  7,304
  8,103
  8,935
  9,800
  10,699
  11,633
  12,604
  13,613
  14,662
  15,752
  16,887
  18,068
  19,298
  20,580
  21,915
  23,308
  24,762
  26,279
  27,863
  29,518
  31,248
  33,057
Total liabilities, $m
  4,122
  4,666
  5,243
  5,853
  6,495
  7,169
  7,874
  8,610
  9,378
  10,177
  11,009
  11,874
  12,773
  13,707
  14,678
  15,687
  16,736
  17,826
  18,961
  20,142
  21,372
  22,654
  23,989
  25,382
  26,836
  28,353
  29,937
  31,592
  33,322
  35,131
Total equity, $m
  2,152
  2,436
  2,737
  3,056
  3,391
  3,743
  4,111
  4,495
  4,896
  5,313
  5,748
  6,199
  6,668
  7,156
  7,663
  8,190
  8,737
  9,307
  9,899
  10,516
  11,158
  11,827
  12,524
  13,251
  14,010
  14,802
  15,629
  16,493
  17,397
  18,341
Total liabilities and equity, $m
  6,274
  7,102
  7,980
  8,909
  9,886
  10,912
  11,985
  13,105
  14,274
  15,490
  16,757
  18,073
  19,441
  20,863
  22,341
  23,877
  25,473
  27,133
  28,860
  30,658
  32,530
  34,481
  36,513
  38,633
  40,846
  43,155
  45,566
  48,085
  50,719
  53,472
Debt-to-equity ratio
  0.950
  1.060
  1.160
  1.240
  1.300
  1.360
  1.410
  1.450
  1.490
  1.530
  1.550
  1.580
  1.600
  1.630
  1.640
  1.660
  1.680
  1.690
  1.710
  1.720
  1.730
  1.740
  1.750
  1.760
  1.770
  1.780
  1.780
  1.790
  1.800
  1.800
Adjusted equity ratio
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343
  0.343

CASH FLOW

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income, $m
  333
  485
  647
  820
  1,001
  1,193
  1,394
  1,604
  1,824
  2,053
  2,331
  2,580
  2,840
  3,110
  3,391
  3,683
  3,988
  4,306
  4,637
  4,982
  5,343
  5,719
  6,112
  6,522
  6,951
  7,400
  7,870
  8,361
  8,876
  9,415
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m
  216
  238
  260
  285
  310
  336
  364
  393
  424
  455
  435
  469
  504
  541
  579
  619
  661
  704
  748
  795
  844
  894
  947
  1,002
  1,059
  1,119
  1,182
  1,247
  1,315
  1,387
Funds from operations, $m
  549
  723
  908
  1,104
  1,311
  1,529
  1,758
  1,997
  2,247
  2,508
  2,766
  3,049
  3,344
  3,651
  3,970
  4,303
  4,649
  5,010
  5,385
  5,777
  6,186
  6,613
  7,058
  7,524
  8,010
  8,519
  9,051
  9,608
  10,191
  10,802
Change in working capital, $m
  146
  156
  166
  175
  184
  193
  202
  211
  220
  229
  239
  248
  258
  268
  278
  289
  301
  313
  325
  339
  353
  367
  383
  399
  417
  435
  454
  475
  496
  519
Cash from operations, $m
  403
  567
  742
  929
  1,127
  1,336
  1,556
  1,786
  2,027
  2,279
  2,527
  2,801
  3,086
  3,383
  3,692
  4,013
  4,348
  4,697
  5,060
  5,439
  5,834
  6,245
  6,675
  7,124
  7,594
  8,084
  8,597
  9,133
  9,695
  10,283
Maintenance CAPEX, $m
  -143
  -163
  -184
  -207
  -231
  -256
  -283
  -311
  -340
  -370
  -402
  -435
  -469
  -504
  -541
  -579
  -619
  -661
  -704
  -748
  -795
  -844
  -894
  -947
  -1,002
  -1,059
  -1,119
  -1,182
  -1,247
  -1,315
New CAPEX, $m
  -388
  -414
  -440
  -465
  -489
  -513
  -537
  -561
  -585
  -609
  -634
  -659
  -685
  -712
  -739
  -769
  -799
  -831
  -864
  -900
  -937
  -976
  -1,017
  -1,061
  -1,107
  -1,156
  -1,207
  -1,261
  -1,318
  -1,378
Cash from investing activities, $m
  -531
  -577
  -624
  -672
  -720
  -769
  -820
  -872
  -925
  -979
  -1,036
  -1,094
  -1,154
  -1,216
  -1,280
  -1,348
  -1,418
  -1,492
  -1,568
  -1,648
  -1,732
  -1,820
  -1,911
  -2,008
  -2,109
  -2,215
  -2,326
  -2,443
  -2,565
  -2,693
Free cash flow, $m
  -128
  -10
  118
  258
  407
  566
  736
  914
  1,102
  1,300
  1,492
  1,708
  1,933
  2,167
  2,411
  2,665
  2,930
  3,205
  3,492
  3,791
  4,102
  4,426
  4,764
  5,117
  5,485
  5,869
  6,271
  6,691
  7,130
  7,590
Issuance/(repayment) of debt, $m
  506
  544
  577
  610
  642
  674
  705
  736
  768
  800
  832
  865
  899
  934
  971
  1,009
  1,049
  1,091
  1,135
  1,181
  1,230
  1,281
  1,336
  1,393
  1,453
  1,517
  1,584
  1,655
  1,730
  1,809
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash from financing (excl. dividends), $m  
  506
  544
  577
  610
  642
  674
  705
  736
  768
  800
  832
  865
  899
  934
  971
  1,009
  1,049
  1,091
  1,135
  1,181
  1,230
  1,281
  1,336
  1,393
  1,453
  1,517
  1,584
  1,655
  1,730
  1,809
Total cash flow (excl. dividends), $m
  378
  534
  696
  868
  1,049
  1,240
  1,441
  1,651
  1,870
  2,099
  2,324
  2,572
  2,831
  3,101
  3,382
  3,674
  3,979
  4,296
  4,627
  4,972
  5,332
  5,707
  6,100
  6,509
  6,938
  7,386
  7,855
  8,346
  8,860
  9,399
Retained Cash Flow (-), $m
  -266
  -284
  -301
  -318
  -335
  -352
  -368
  -384
  -401
  -417
  -434
  -452
  -469
  -488
  -507
  -527
  -548
  -569
  -592
  -617
  -642
  -669
  -697
  -727
  -759
  -792
  -827
  -864
  -903
  -944
Prev. year cash balance distribution, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash flow adjustment, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash available for distribution, $m
  112
  250
  394
  549
  714
  888
  1,073
  1,266
  1,469
  1,682
  1,889
  2,121
  2,362
  2,613
  2,875
  3,148
  3,431
  3,727
  4,034
  4,355
  4,689
  5,038
  5,402
  5,782
  6,179
  6,594
  7,028
  7,482
  7,957
  8,455
Discount rate, %
  5.60
  5.88
  6.17
  6.48
  6.81
  7.15
  7.50
  7.88
  8.27
  8.69
  9.12
  9.58
  10.06
  10.56
  11.09
  11.64
  12.22
  12.84
  13.48
  14.15
  14.86
  15.60
  16.38
  17.20
  18.06
  18.96
  19.91
  20.91
  21.95
  23.05
PV of cash for distribution, $m
  106
  223
  329
  427
  514
  587
  646
  690
  719
  731
  723
  708
  680
  641
  594
  540
  483
  424
  365
  309
  256
  208
  165
  128
  97
  72
  52
  37
  25
  17
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is a manufacturer of specialty materials and complex components. The Company operates through two business segments: High Performance Materials & Components (HPMC), and Flat Rolled Products (FRP). The HPMC segment produces, converts and distributes a range of materials, including titanium and titanium-based alloys, nickel- and cobalt-based alloys and superalloys, zirconium and related alloys, including hafnium and niobium, advanced powder alloys and other specialty materials, in long product forms, such as ingot, billet, bar, rod, wire, shapes and rectangles, and seamless tubes, plus precision forgings, castings, components and machined parts. The FRP segment produces, converts and distributes stainless steel, nickel-based alloys, specialty alloys, and titanium and titanium-based alloys, in a range of product forms, including plate, sheet, engineered strip, and Precision Rolled Strip products.

FINANCIAL RATIOS  of  Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI)

Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio -4.4
Price to Sales 0.9
Price to Book 2.1
Price to Tangible Book
Price to Cash Flow -63.7
Price to Free Cash Flow -11.4
Growth Rates
Sales Growth Rate -15.7%
Sales - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
EPS Growth Rate %
EPS - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
Capital Spending Gr. Rate 39.3%
Cap. Spend. - 3 Yr. Gr. Rate -19.9%
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio 2
Current Ratio 0
LT Debt to Equity 130.8%
Total Debt to Equity 138.5%
Interest Coverage -5
Management Effectiveness
Return On Assets -9.8%
Ret/ On Assets - 3 Yr. Avg. -2%
Return On Total Capital -18.8%
Ret/ On T. Cap. - 3 Yr. Avg. -9.6%
Return On Equity -37.3%
Return On Equity - 3 Yr. Avg. -17.8%
Asset Turnover 0.6
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 5.2%
Gross Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 5.2%
EBITDA Margin -13.9%
EBITDA Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. -3.9%
Operating Margin -19.5%
Oper. Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. -9%
Pre-Tax Margin -23.4%
Pre-Tax Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. -12.1%
Net Profit Margin -20.4%
Net Profit Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. -10.2%
Effective Tax Rate 14.6%
Eff/ Tax Rate - 3 Yr. Avg. -120.7%
Payout Ratio -4.1%

ATI stock valuation input parameters

Revenue. Company's revenue (or sales) is always the starting point of any cash flow forecast. In the ATI stock intrinsic value calculation we used $4047 million for the last fiscal year's total revenue generated by Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. The default revenue input number comes from 0001 income statement of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. You may change it if you feel that it should be adjusted for some unusual circumstances that are not expected to be repeated in the future or if you already know (from interim financial statements, for example) that this year's revenue is going to be quite different.

Revenue growth rate. Forecasted future revenue growth rate is the most important input parameter for the intrinsic value calculation. Unlike other input parameters that are reasonably expected to be in line with their historic averages or their historic trends, the revenue growth rate by and large is a wild card: nobody really knows what the company's revenue will be in the future. Of course, the level of unpredictability is different for different industries (utility companies being the most predictable and, thus, less risky).
    We use three input parameters to forecast the revenue growth rate in our ATI stock valuation model: a) initial revenue growth rate of 14.1% whose default value is the revenue growth rate in the most recent quarter compared to the quarterly revenue a year ago; b) terminal revenue growth rate of 5% whose default value is chosen to be close to the average nominal (i.e. not adjusted for inflation) GDP growth rate; and c) revenue decline factor of 0.9, which stipulates that revenue growth rate in each forecasted year will be equal to the difference of the revenue growth rate in the preceding year and the terminal revenue growth rate multiplied by this revenue decline factor (with the passage of time the revenue growth rate will be approaching the terminal revenue growth rate, but not quite reaching it - though the difference could be infinitesimally small).
    At the revenue decline factor of 1, the future revenue growth rate is forecasted to be constant and equal to the initial revenue growth rate. The smaller the revenue decline factor, the faster the revenue growth rate will approach the terminal revenue growth.

Discount rate. The discount rate is used for determining the present value of future cash flows: future cash flows are "discounted" as at normal conditions (that translate into positive expected return on investment) one dollar today is worth more than the same dollar in the future. Unlike all other valuation models, we use variable discount rate, i.e. it increases for each consecutive year. This is done to account for higher risk of cash flows coming in further in the future.
    The initial discount rate of 5.6%, whose default value for ATI is calculated based on our internal credit rating of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, is applied to the cash flow expected to be received a year from now (well, actually, to be precise, in the financial year following the base year - the last year for which we have financial statements). For each consecutive year the discount rate is multiplied by the discount rate multiplier of 1.05, e.i. each year it increases by 5%. Feel free to change this number to correspond to your level of risk assessment of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated.
    By the way, it is easy to set the discount rate to be constant (this would make comparison with other valuation models easier): just set the discount rate multiplier equal to 1 and chose the magnitude of the initial discount rate to your liking.

Variable cost ratio is the ratio of variable costs (i.e. costs that fluctuate with fluctuation of the volume of production) to the revenue expressed as a percentage. In the calculation of intrinsic value of ATI stock the variable cost ratio is equal to 56.3%.

Fixed operating expenses is just that - expenses that are not dependant on the volume of production. They are set to $1436 million in the base year in the intrinsic value calculation for ATI stock. These expenses increase with the level of inflation in subsequent years.

Interest rate on debt is the average all-in rate of interest paid by the company on its debt. It is set at 6.6% for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated.

Corporate tax rate of 27% is the nominal tax rate for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. In reality, companies find ways to pay much less taxes than that or not to pay them at all.

Cash flow adjustment could be used for any adjustment the investor deems necessary. Most commonly we use this field to account for stock options-related effects in excess of what is reported on the company's income statement. The cash flow adjustment is expressed as a percentage of the revenue, and in the current valuation of the ATI stock is equal to 0%.

Production assets are the company's assets used for manufacturing products or provision of services. In the valuation model input table they are expressed as a percentage of revenue and for ATI are equal to 68%.

Life of production assets of 19.3 years is the average useful life of capital assets used in Allegheny Technologies Incorporated operations. It is used to calculate yearly capital expenditures needed to keep these assets in good order - we call it the maintenance CAPEX.

Working capital is the difference between the company's current assets and liabilities. In the model we use the ratio of working capital to revenue, which for ATI is equal to 25.6%. A negative number means that the company is apt at using financial resources of its suppliers and customers; a large positive number, on the other hand, means that it either provides in-kind financing to others or is not good at managing its inventories.

Book value of equity - $1885.7 million for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated - is used in calculation of the "floor" for intrinsic valuation based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) method. Even if the prospects are very bad for a company, its assets could always be sold now for their current fair market value.

Shares outstanding of 125.638 million for Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is needed to calculate the intrinsic value of one share.

Market capitalization is used here only for reference purposes and as a quick check that the share price and the number of shares outstanding numbers are correct - something especially to be cognizant about at stock splits. So, the market capitalization of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated at the current share price and the inputted number of shares is $3.2 billion.

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