Intrinsic value of Qorvo - QRVO

Previous Close

$60.64

  Intrinsic Value

$25.20

stock screener

  Rating & Target

str. sell

-58%

Previous close

$60.64

 
Intrinsic value

$25.20

 
Up/down potential

-58%

 
Rating

str. sell

We calculate the intrinsic value of QRVO stock by summing up the current values of future distributable cash flows generated by the company and dividing the sum by the number of outstanding shares. As such, the intrinsic value calculation depends entirely on projections. The more accurate your projections of the company's performance are - the more reliable is the intrinsic value calculation result. Please make sure to check the stock valuation input data below and adjust it if necessary. The quality of the output (intrinsic valuation result) is only as good as the quality of the input. See also DISCLAIMERS.

STOCK VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue (in 0001), $M
Initial revenue growth rate, %
Terminal revenue growth rate, %
Revenue decline factor
Initial discount rate, %
Discount rate multiplier
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, $M
Interest rate on debt, %
Effective corporate tax rate, %
Production assets / Revenue, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Working capital / Revenue, %
Revenue / Adjusted assets
Adjusted equity ratio
Cash flow adjustment, % of Revenue
Book value of equity, $M
Shares outstanding, mln
Market capitalization, $bln 7.7

 

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   9
   10
   11
   12
   13
   14
   15
   16
   17
   18
   19
   20
   21
   22
   23
   24
   25
   26
   27
   28
   29
   30
   31

INCOME STATEMENT

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue growth rate, %
  8.10
  7.79
  7.51
  7.26
  7.03
  6.83
  6.65
  6.48
  6.33
  6.20
  6.08
  5.97
  5.88
  5.79
  5.71
  5.64
  5.57
  5.52
  5.47
  5.42
  5.38
  5.34
  5.31
  5.27
  5.25
  5.22
  5.20
  5.18
  5.16
  5.15
Revenue, $m
  3,214
  3,465
  3,725
  3,995
  4,277
  4,569
  4,872
  5,188
  5,517
  5,859
  6,215
  6,586
  6,973
  7,377
  7,798
  8,238
  8,697
  9,177
  9,678
  10,203
  10,751
  11,326
  11,926
  12,555
  13,214
  13,904
  14,627
  15,385
  16,179
  17,012
Variable operating expenses, $m
  2,238
  2,389
  2,546
  2,709
  2,878
  3,054
  3,236
  3,426
  3,624
  3,830
  3,741
  3,965
  4,198
  4,441
  4,694
  4,959
  5,235
  5,524
  5,826
  6,142
  6,472
  6,818
  7,179
  7,558
  7,954
  8,370
  8,805
  9,261
  9,739
  10,241
Fixed operating expenses, $m
  845
  864
  883
  902
  922
  942
  963
  984
  1,006
  1,028
  1,051
  1,074
  1,097
  1,122
  1,146
  1,171
  1,197
  1,224
  1,250
  1,278
  1,306
  1,335
  1,364
  1,394
  1,425
  1,456
  1,488
  1,521
  1,554
  1,589
Total operating expenses, $m
  3,083
  3,253
  3,429
  3,611
  3,800
  3,996
  4,199
  4,410
  4,630
  4,858
  4,792
  5,039
  5,295
  5,563
  5,840
  6,130
  6,432
  6,748
  7,076
  7,420
  7,778
  8,153
  8,543
  8,952
  9,379
  9,826
  10,293
  10,782
  11,293
  11,830
Operating income, $m
  131
  212
  297
  385
  477
  573
  673
  777
  887
  1,001
  1,423
  1,548
  1,678
  1,815
  1,958
  2,108
  2,265
  2,429
  2,602
  2,783
  2,973
  3,173
  3,383
  3,603
  3,835
  4,078
  4,334
  4,603
  4,886
  5,183
EBITDA, $m
  932
  1,051
  1,176
  1,306
  1,442
  1,583
  1,730
  1,883
  2,043
  2,210
  2,385
  2,567
  2,757
  2,956
  3,164
  3,382
  3,610
  3,849
  4,099
  4,362
  4,637
  4,925
  5,228
  5,546
  5,879
  6,229
  6,597
  6,983
  7,389
  7,815
Interest expense (income), $m
  71
  59
  67
  75
  83
  92
  101
  111
  120
  131
  141
  152
  164
  176
  188
  202
  215
  229
  244
  260
  276
  293
  311
  329
  349
  369
  391
  413
  436
  461
  487
Earnings before tax, $m
  72
  145
  222
  301
  385
  472
  562
  657
  756
  859
  1,271
  1,384
  1,502
  1,626
  1,756
  1,892
  2,035
  2,185
  2,342
  2,507
  2,680
  2,862
  3,054
  3,255
  3,466
  3,688
  3,921
  4,167
  4,425
  4,696
Tax expense, $m
  19
  39
  60
  81
  104
  127
  152
  177
  204
  232
  343
  374
  406
  439
  474
  511
  550
  590
  632
  677
  724
  773
  824
  879
  936
  996
  1,059
  1,125
  1,195
  1,268
Net income, $m
  52
  106
  162
  220
  281
  344
  410
  480
  552
  627
  928
  1,010
  1,097
  1,187
  1,282
  1,381
  1,486
  1,595
  1,710
  1,830
  1,957
  2,090
  2,229
  2,376
  2,530
  2,692
  2,862
  3,042
  3,230
  3,428

BALANCE SHEET

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and short-term investments, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Total assets, $m
  6,378
  6,875
  7,391
  7,928
  8,485
  9,065
  9,667
  10,294
  10,946
  11,625
  12,332
  13,068
  13,836
  14,637
  15,473
  16,345
  17,256
  18,208
  19,203
  20,244
  21,332
  22,471
  23,663
  24,912
  26,219
  27,588
  29,023
  30,526
  32,102
  33,754
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m
  6,378
  6,875
  7,391
  7,928
  8,485
  9,065
  9,667
  10,294
  10,946
  11,625
  12,332
  13,068
  13,836
  14,637
  15,473
  16,345
  17,256
  18,208
  19,203
  20,244
  21,332
  22,471
  23,663
  24,912
  26,219
  27,588
  29,023
  30,526
  32,102
  33,754
Revenue / Adjusted assets
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
  0.504
Average production assets, $m
  3,282
  3,538
  3,803
  4,079
  4,366
  4,665
  4,975
  5,297
  5,633
  5,982
  6,346
  6,725
  7,120
  7,532
  7,962
  8,411
  8,880
  9,370
  9,882
  10,417
  10,977
  11,563
  12,177
  12,819
  13,492
  14,196
  14,935
  15,708
  16,519
  17,369
Working capital, $m
  514
  554
  596
  639
  684
  731
  780
  830
  883
  937
  994
  1,054
  1,116
  1,180
  1,248
  1,318
  1,392
  1,468
  1,549
  1,632
  1,720
  1,812
  1,908
  2,009
  2,114
  2,225
  2,340
  2,462
  2,589
  2,722
Total debt, $m
  1,112
  1,247
  1,388
  1,534
  1,685
  1,843
  2,007
  2,177
  2,355
  2,539
  2,732
  2,932
  3,141
  3,359
  3,586
  3,823
  4,071
  4,330
  4,601
  4,884
  5,180
  5,490
  5,814
  6,153
  6,509
  6,881
  7,272
  7,680
  8,109
  8,558
Total liabilities, $m
  1,735
  1,870
  2,010
  2,156
  2,308
  2,466
  2,630
  2,800
  2,977
  3,162
  3,354
  3,555
  3,763
  3,981
  4,209
  4,446
  4,694
  4,953
  5,223
  5,506
  5,802
  6,112
  6,436
  6,776
  7,132
  7,504
  7,894
  8,303
  8,732
  9,181
Total equity, $m
  4,643
  5,005
  5,381
  5,771
  6,177
  6,599
  7,038
  7,494
  7,969
  8,463
  8,977
  9,514
  10,073
  10,656
  11,264
  11,899
  12,562
  13,256
  13,980
  14,737
  15,530
  16,359
  17,227
  18,136
  19,087
  20,084
  21,129
  22,223
  23,370
  24,573
Total liabilities and equity, $m
  6,378
  6,875
  7,391
  7,927
  8,485
  9,065
  9,668
  10,294
  10,946
  11,625
  12,331
  13,069
  13,836
  14,637
  15,473
  16,345
  17,256
  18,209
  19,203
  20,243
  21,332
  22,471
  23,663
  24,912
  26,219
  27,588
  29,023
  30,526
  32,102
  33,754
Debt-to-equity ratio
  0.240
  0.250
  0.260
  0.270
  0.270
  0.280
  0.290
  0.290
  0.300
  0.300
  0.300
  0.310
  0.310
  0.320
  0.320
  0.320
  0.320
  0.330
  0.330
  0.330
  0.330
  0.340
  0.340
  0.340
  0.340
  0.340
  0.340
  0.350
  0.350
  0.350
Adjusted equity ratio
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728
  0.728

CASH FLOW

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income, $m
  52
  106
  162
  220
  281
  344
  410
  480
  552
  627
  928
  1,010
  1,097
  1,187
  1,282
  1,381
  1,486
  1,595
  1,710
  1,830
  1,957
  2,090
  2,229
  2,376
  2,530
  2,692
  2,862
  3,042
  3,230
  3,428
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m
  801
  839
  880
  922
  965
  1,010
  1,057
  1,106
  1,157
  1,210
  961
  1,019
  1,079
  1,141
  1,206
  1,274
  1,345
  1,420
  1,497
  1,578
  1,663
  1,752
  1,845
  1,942
  2,044
  2,151
  2,263
  2,380
  2,503
  2,632
Funds from operations, $m
  853
  945
  1,041
  1,142
  1,246
  1,354
  1,468
  1,586
  1,709
  1,837
  1,889
  2,029
  2,175
  2,328
  2,488
  2,656
  2,831
  3,015
  3,207
  3,409
  3,620
  3,842
  4,074
  4,318
  4,574
  4,843
  5,125
  5,422
  5,733
  6,060
Change in working capital, $m
  39
  40
  42
  43
  45
  47
  49
  51
  53
  55
  57
  59
  62
  65
  67
  70
  73
  77
  80
  84
  88
  92
  96
  101
  105
  110
  116
  121
  127
  133
Cash from operations, $m
  815
  905
  1,000
  1,098
  1,201
  1,308
  1,419
  1,535
  1,656
  1,782
  1,832
  1,970
  2,114
  2,264
  2,421
  2,585
  2,758
  2,938
  3,127
  3,325
  3,532
  3,750
  3,978
  4,217
  4,469
  4,733
  5,010
  5,300
  5,606
  5,927
Maintenance CAPEX, $m
  -460
  -497
  -536
  -576
  -618
  -662
  -707
  -754
  -803
  -853
  -906
  -961
  -1,019
  -1,079
  -1,141
  -1,206
  -1,274
  -1,345
  -1,420
  -1,497
  -1,578
  -1,663
  -1,752
  -1,845
  -1,942
  -2,044
  -2,151
  -2,263
  -2,380
  -2,503
New CAPEX, $m
  -247
  -256
  -266
  -276
  -287
  -298
  -310
  -322
  -336
  -349
  -364
  -379
  -395
  -412
  -430
  -449
  -469
  -490
  -512
  -535
  -560
  -586
  -613
  -642
  -673
  -705
  -738
  -774
  -811
  -850
Cash from investing activities, $m
  -707
  -753
  -802
  -852
  -905
  -960
  -1,017
  -1,076
  -1,139
  -1,202
  -1,270
  -1,340
  -1,414
  -1,491
  -1,571
  -1,655
  -1,743
  -1,835
  -1,932
  -2,032
  -2,138
  -2,249
  -2,365
  -2,487
  -2,615
  -2,749
  -2,889
  -3,037
  -3,191
  -3,353
Free cash flow, $m
  108
  152
  198
  246
  296
  348
  402
  459
  518
  580
  562
  629
  700
  773
  850
  930
  1,014
  1,103
  1,195
  1,292
  1,394
  1,500
  1,612
  1,730
  1,854
  1,984
  2,120
  2,264
  2,415
  2,574
Issuance/(repayment) of debt, $m
  129
  135
  140
  146
  152
  158
  164
  170
  177
  185
  192
  200
  209
  218
  227
  237
  248
  259
  271
  283
  296
  310
  324
  340
  356
  372
  390
  409
  429
  449
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m
  300
  256
  214
  171
  125
  78
  28
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash from financing (excl. dividends), $m  
  429
  391
  354
  317
  277
  236
  192
  170
  177
  185
  192
  200
  209
  218
  227
  237
  248
  259
  271
  283
  296
  310
  324
  340
  356
  372
  390
  409
  429
  449
Total cash flow (excl. dividends), $m
  536
  543
  553
  562
  573
  583
  594
  629
  695
  764
  754
  830
  908
  991
  1,077
  1,168
  1,262
  1,362
  1,466
  1,575
  1,690
  1,810
  1,937
  2,070
  2,209
  2,356
  2,511
  2,673
  2,844
  3,023
Retained Cash Flow (-), $m
  -352
  -362
  -376
  -391
  -406
  -422
  -439
  -456
  -475
  -494
  -515
  -536
  -559
  -583
  -608
  -635
  -663
  -693
  -724
  -758
  -792
  -829
  -868
  -909
  -952
  -997
  -1,044
  -1,095
  -1,147
  -1,203
Prev. year cash balance distribution, $m
  485
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash flow adjustment, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash available for distribution, $m
  669
  182
  177
  172
  167
  161
  156
  173
  221
  270
  240
  293
  349
  408
  469
  532
  599
  668
  741
  817
  897
  981
  1,069
  1,161
  1,258
  1,359
  1,466
  1,578
  1,696
  1,820
Discount rate, %
  4.30
  4.52
  4.74
  4.98
  5.23
  5.49
  5.76
  6.05
  6.35
  6.67
  7.00
  7.35
  7.72
  8.11
  8.51
  8.94
  9.39
  9.86
  10.35
  10.87
  11.41
  11.98
  12.58
  13.21
  13.87
  14.56
  15.29
  16.05
  16.86
  17.70
PV of cash for distribution, $m
  642
  166
  154
  141
  129
  117
  105
  108
  127
  142
  114
  125
  133
  137
  138
  135
  130
  123
  114
  104
  93
  81
  70
  59
  49
  40
  31
  24
  19
  14
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %
  95.8
  92.7
  90.3
  88.5
  87.3
  86.6
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4
  86.4

Qorvo, Inc. is a provider of technologies and radio frequency (RF) solutions for mobile, infrastructure and defense and aerospace applications. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets its products to the United States and international original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and original design manufacturers (ODMs). Its segments include Mobile Products (MP) and Infrastructure and Defense Products (IDP). The MP segment is a supplier of radio frequency (RF) solutions that perform various functions in the cellular radio front end section of smartphones and other cellular devices. The IDP segment is a supplier of RF solutions that support various global applications, including ubiquitous high-speed network connectivity to the cloud, data center communications, Internet connectivity throughout the home and workplace, and upgraded military capabilities across the globe. It operates design, sales and manufacturing facilities located throughout Asia, Europe and North America.

FINANCIAL RATIOS  of  Qorvo (QRVO)

Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio -451.1
Price to Sales 2.5
Price to Book 1.6
Price to Tangible Book
Price to Cash Flow 9.9
Price to Free Cash Flow 34.2
Growth Rates
Sales Growth Rate 16.2%
Sales - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
EPS Growth Rate %
EPS - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
Capital Spending Gr. Rate 75%
Cap. Spend. - 3 Yr. Gr. Rate 52.1%
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio NaN
Current Ratio 0.1
LT Debt to Equity 20.2%
Total Debt to Equity 20.2%
Interest Coverage 1
Management Effectiveness
Return On Assets -0.9%
Ret/ On Assets - 3 Yr. Avg. 1.3%
Return On Total Capital -0.3%
Ret/ On T. Cap. - 3 Yr. Avg. 1.6%
Return On Equity -0.3%
Return On Equity - 3 Yr. Avg. 1.6%
Asset Turnover 0.5
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 37.5%
Gross Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 39.3%
EBITDA Margin 26.5%
EBITDA Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 24%
Operating Margin 2.9%
Oper. Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 3.5%
Pre-Tax Margin 0.9%
Pre-Tax Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 2.6%
Net Profit Margin -0.6%
Net Profit Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 3.3%
Effective Tax Rate 163%
Eff/ Tax Rate - 3 Yr. Avg. -255.2%
Payout Ratio 0%

QRVO stock valuation input parameters

Revenue. Company's revenue (or sales) is always the starting point of any cash flow forecast. In the QRVO stock intrinsic value calculation we used $2973.536 million for the last fiscal year's total revenue generated by Qorvo. The default revenue input number comes from 0001 income statement of Qorvo. You may change it if you feel that it should be adjusted for some unusual circumstances that are not expected to be repeated in the future or if you already know (from interim financial statements, for example) that this year's revenue is going to be quite different.

Revenue growth rate. Forecasted future revenue growth rate is the most important input parameter for the intrinsic value calculation. Unlike other input parameters that are reasonably expected to be in line with their historic averages or their historic trends, the revenue growth rate by and large is a wild card: nobody really knows what the company's revenue will be in the future. Of course, the level of unpredictability is different for different industries (utility companies being the most predictable and, thus, less risky).
    We use three input parameters to forecast the revenue growth rate in our QRVO stock valuation model: a) initial revenue growth rate of 8.1% whose default value is the revenue growth rate in the most recent quarter compared to the quarterly revenue a year ago; b) terminal revenue growth rate of 5% whose default value is chosen to be close to the average nominal (i.e. not adjusted for inflation) GDP growth rate; and c) revenue decline factor of 0.9, which stipulates that revenue growth rate in each forecasted year will be equal to the difference of the revenue growth rate in the preceding year and the terminal revenue growth rate multiplied by this revenue decline factor (with the passage of time the revenue growth rate will be approaching the terminal revenue growth rate, but not quite reaching it - though the difference could be infinitesimally small).
    At the revenue decline factor of 1, the future revenue growth rate is forecasted to be constant and equal to the initial revenue growth rate. The smaller the revenue decline factor, the faster the revenue growth rate will approach the terminal revenue growth.

Discount rate. The discount rate is used for determining the present value of future cash flows: future cash flows are "discounted" as at normal conditions (that translate into positive expected return on investment) one dollar today is worth more than the same dollar in the future. Unlike all other valuation models, we use variable discount rate, i.e. it increases for each consecutive year. This is done to account for higher risk of cash flows coming in further in the future.
    The initial discount rate of 4.3%, whose default value for QRVO is calculated based on our internal credit rating of Qorvo, is applied to the cash flow expected to be received a year from now (well, actually, to be precise, in the financial year following the base year - the last year for which we have financial statements). For each consecutive year the discount rate is multiplied by the discount rate multiplier of 1.05, e.i. each year it increases by 5%. Feel free to change this number to correspond to your level of risk assessment of Qorvo.
    By the way, it is easy to set the discount rate to be constant (this would make comparison with other valuation models easier): just set the discount rate multiplier equal to 1 and chose the magnitude of the initial discount rate to your liking.

Variable cost ratio is the ratio of variable costs (i.e. costs that fluctuate with fluctuation of the volume of production) to the revenue expressed as a percentage. In the calculation of intrinsic value of QRVO stock the variable cost ratio is equal to 70.4%.

Fixed operating expenses is just that - expenses that are not dependant on the volume of production. They are set to $827 million in the base year in the intrinsic value calculation for QRVO stock. These expenses increase with the level of inflation in subsequent years.

Interest rate on debt is the average all-in rate of interest paid by the company on its debt. It is set at 6% for Qorvo.

Corporate tax rate of 27% is the nominal tax rate for Qorvo. In reality, companies find ways to pay much less taxes than that or not to pay them at all.

Cash flow adjustment could be used for any adjustment the investor deems necessary. Most commonly we use this field to account for stock options-related effects in excess of what is reported on the company's income statement. The cash flow adjustment is expressed as a percentage of the revenue, and in the current valuation of the QRVO stock is equal to 0%.

Production assets are the company's assets used for manufacturing products or provision of services. In the valuation model input table they are expressed as a percentage of revenue and for QRVO are equal to 102.1%.

Life of production assets of 6.6 years is the average useful life of capital assets used in Qorvo operations. It is used to calculate yearly capital expenditures needed to keep these assets in good order - we call it the maintenance CAPEX.

Working capital is the difference between the company's current assets and liabilities. In the model we use the ratio of working capital to revenue, which for QRVO is equal to 16%. A negative number means that the company is apt at using financial resources of its suppliers and customers; a large positive number, on the other hand, means that it either provides in-kind financing to others or is not good at managing its inventories.

Book value of equity - $4775.564 million for Qorvo - is used in calculation of the "floor" for intrinsic valuation based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) method. Even if the prospects are very bad for a company, its assets could always be sold now for their current fair market value.

Shares outstanding of 126.491 million for Qorvo is needed to calculate the intrinsic value of one share.

Market capitalization is used here only for reference purposes and as a quick check that the share price and the number of shares outstanding numbers are correct - something especially to be cognizant about at stock splits. So, the market capitalization of Qorvo at the current share price and the inputted number of shares is $7.7 billion.

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