Intrinsic value of Robert Half International - RHI

Previous Close

$62.93

  Intrinsic Value

$66.43

stock screener

  Rating & Target

hold

+6%

Previous close

$62.93

 
Intrinsic value

$66.43

 
Up/down potential

+6%

 
Rating

hold

We calculate the intrinsic value of RHI stock by summing up the current values of future distributable cash flows generated by the company and dividing the sum by the number of outstanding shares. As such, the intrinsic value calculation depends entirely on projections. The more accurate your projections of the company's performance are - the more reliable is the intrinsic value calculation result. Please make sure to check the stock valuation input data below and adjust it if necessary. The quality of the output (intrinsic valuation result) is only as good as the quality of the input. See also DISCLAIMERS.

STOCK VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue (in 0001), $M
Initial revenue growth rate, %
Terminal revenue growth rate, %
Revenue decline factor
Initial discount rate, %
Discount rate multiplier
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, $M
Interest rate on debt, %
Effective corporate tax rate, %
Production assets / Revenue, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Working capital / Revenue, %
Revenue / Adjusted assets
Adjusted equity ratio
Cash flow adjustment, % of Revenue
Book value of equity, $M
Shares outstanding, mln
Market capitalization, $bln 7.7

 

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   9
   10
   11
   12
   13
   14
   15
   16
   17
   18
   19
   20
   21
   22
   23
   24
   25
   26
   27
   28
   29
   30
   31

INCOME STATEMENT

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue growth rate, %
  11.40
  10.76
  10.18
  9.67
  9.20
  8.78
  8.40
  8.06
  7.75
  7.48
  7.23
  7.01
  6.81
  6.63
  6.46
  6.32
  6.19
  6.07
  5.96
  5.86
  5.78
  5.70
  5.63
  5.57
  5.51
  5.46
  5.41
  5.37
  5.33
  5.30
Revenue, $m
  5,867
  6,499
  7,160
  7,852
  8,575
  9,328
  10,111
  10,926
  11,774
  12,654
  13,569
  14,520
  15,509
  16,536
  17,605
  18,718
  19,876
  21,081
  22,338
  23,648
  25,014
  26,440
  27,929
  29,484
  31,109
  32,807
  34,583
  36,441
  38,385
  40,420
Variable operating expenses, $m
  5,249
  5,811
  6,401
  7,017
  7,661
  8,332
  9,030
  9,756
  10,511
  11,295
  12,089
  12,936
  13,817
  14,732
  15,685
  16,676
  17,707
  18,781
  19,901
  21,068
  22,285
  23,556
  24,882
  26,267
  27,715
  29,228
  30,810
  32,465
  34,197
  36,010
Fixed operating expenses, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Total operating expenses, $m
  5,249
  5,811
  6,401
  7,017
  7,661
  8,332
  9,030
  9,756
  10,511
  11,295
  12,089
  12,936
  13,817
  14,732
  15,685
  16,676
  17,707
  18,781
  19,901
  21,068
  22,285
  23,556
  24,882
  26,267
  27,715
  29,228
  30,810
  32,465
  34,197
  36,010
Operating income, $m
  619
  687
  760
  835
  914
  996
  1,082
  1,170
  1,263
  1,359
  1,480
  1,584
  1,692
  1,804
  1,921
  2,042
  2,168
  2,300
  2,437
  2,580
  2,729
  2,885
  3,047
  3,217
  3,394
  3,579
  3,773
  3,976
  4,188
  4,410
EBITDA, $m
  691
  766
  844
  925
  1,011
  1,099
  1,192
  1,288
  1,387
  1,491
  1,599
  1,711
  1,828
  1,949
  2,075
  2,206
  2,342
  2,484
  2,632
  2,787
  2,948
  3,116
  3,291
  3,475
  3,666
  3,866
  4,076
  4,294
  4,524
  4,763
Interest expense (income), $m
  0
  0
  5
  10
  15
  20
  26
  32
  38
  44
  51
  58
  65
  72
  80
  88
  96
  105
  114
  124
  133
  144
  154
  165
  177
  189
  202
  215
  229
  244
  259
Earnings before tax, $m
  618
  683
  750
  820
  894
  970
  1,050
  1,133
  1,219
  1,308
  1,423
  1,519
  1,620
  1,724
  1,833
  1,946
  2,063
  2,186
  2,313
  2,447
  2,585
  2,730
  2,882
  3,040
  3,205
  3,377
  3,558
  3,747
  3,944
  4,151
Tax expense, $m
  167
  184
  202
  221
  241
  262
  283
  306
  329
  353
  384
  410
  437
  465
  495
  525
  557
  590
  625
  661
  698
  737
  778
  821
  865
  912
  961
  1,012
  1,065
  1,121
Net income, $m
  451
  498
  547
  599
  652
  708
  766
  827
  890
  955
  1,039
  1,109
  1,182
  1,259
  1,338
  1,420
  1,506
  1,596
  1,689
  1,786
  1,887
  1,993
  2,104
  2,219
  2,339
  2,465
  2,597
  2,735
  2,879
  3,030

BALANCE SHEET

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and short-term investments, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Total assets, $m
  2,081
  2,304
  2,539
  2,785
  3,041
  3,308
  3,586
  3,875
  4,175
  4,487
  4,812
  5,149
  5,500
  5,864
  6,243
  6,637
  7,048
  7,476
  7,921
  8,386
  8,870
  9,376
  9,904
  10,455
  11,031
  11,634
  12,263
  12,922
  13,612
  14,333
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m
  2,081
  2,304
  2,539
  2,785
  3,041
  3,308
  3,586
  3,875
  4,175
  4,487
  4,812
  5,149
  5,500
  5,864
  6,243
  6,637
  7,048
  7,476
  7,921
  8,386
  8,870
  9,376
  9,904
  10,455
  11,031
  11,634
  12,263
  12,922
  13,612
  14,333
Revenue / Adjusted assets
  2.819
  2.821
  2.820
  2.819
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
  2.820
Average production assets, $m
  287
  318
  351
  385
  420
  457
  495
  535
  577
  620
  665
  711
  760
  810
  863
  917
  974
  1,033
  1,095
  1,159
  1,226
  1,296
  1,369
  1,445
  1,524
  1,608
  1,695
  1,786
  1,881
  1,981
Working capital, $m
  434
  481
  530
  581
  635
  690
  748
  809
  871
  936
  1,004
  1,074
  1,148
  1,224
  1,303
  1,385
  1,471
  1,560
  1,653
  1,750
  1,851
  1,957
  2,067
  2,182
  2,302
  2,428
  2,559
  2,697
  2,840
  2,991
Total debt, $m
  88
  179
  275
  375
  479
  588
  702
  819
  942
  1,069
  1,202
  1,339
  1,482
  1,631
  1,786
  1,947
  2,114
  2,289
  2,471
  2,660
  2,858
  3,064
  3,279
  3,504
  3,739
  3,985
  4,242
  4,511
  4,792
  5,087
Total liabilities, $m
  849
  940
  1,036
  1,136
  1,241
  1,350
  1,463
  1,581
  1,703
  1,831
  1,963
  2,101
  2,244
  2,393
  2,547
  2,708
  2,876
  3,050
  3,232
  3,421
  3,619
  3,825
  4,041
  4,266
  4,501
  4,747
  5,003
  5,272
  5,554
  5,848
Total equity, $m
  1,232
  1,364
  1,503
  1,648
  1,800
  1,958
  2,123
  2,294
  2,472
  2,656
  2,849
  3,048
  3,256
  3,471
  3,696
  3,929
  4,172
  4,426
  4,689
  4,964
  5,251
  5,551
  5,863
  6,190
  6,531
  6,887
  7,260
  7,650
  8,058
  8,485
Total liabilities and equity, $m
  2,081
  2,304
  2,539
  2,784
  3,041
  3,308
  3,586
  3,875
  4,175
  4,487
  4,812
  5,149
  5,500
  5,864
  6,243
  6,637
  7,048
  7,476
  7,921
  8,385
  8,870
  9,376
  9,904
  10,456
  11,032
  11,634
  12,263
  12,922
  13,612
  14,333
Debt-to-equity ratio
  0.070
  0.130
  0.180
  0.230
  0.270
  0.300
  0.330
  0.360
  0.380
  0.400
  0.420
  0.440
  0.460
  0.470
  0.480
  0.500
  0.510
  0.520
  0.530
  0.540
  0.540
  0.550
  0.560
  0.570
  0.570
  0.580
  0.580
  0.590
  0.590
  0.600
Adjusted equity ratio
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592
  0.592

CASH FLOW

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income, $m
  451
  498
  547
  599
  652
  708
  766
  827
  890
  955
  1,039
  1,109
  1,182
  1,259
  1,338
  1,420
  1,506
  1,596
  1,689
  1,786
  1,887
  1,993
  2,104
  2,219
  2,339
  2,465
  2,597
  2,735
  2,879
  3,030
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m
  73
  78
  84
  90
  97
  103
  110
  117
  125
  132
  119
  127
  136
  145
  154
  164
  174
  184
  195
  207
  219
  231
  244
  258
  272
  287
  303
  319
  336
  354
Funds from operations, $m
  524
  577
  632
  689
  749
  811
  876
  944
  1,014
  1,087
  1,157
  1,236
  1,318
  1,403
  1,492
  1,584
  1,680
  1,780
  1,884
  1,993
  2,106
  2,224
  2,348
  2,477
  2,612
  2,752
  2,900
  3,054
  3,215
  3,384
Change in working capital, $m
  44
  47
  49
  51
  53
  56
  58
  60
  63
  65
  68
  70
  73
  76
  79
  82
  86
  89
  93
  97
  101
  106
  110
  115
  120
  126
  131
  137
  144
  151
Cash from operations, $m
  480
  530
  583
  638
  696
  756
  818
  884
  952
  1,022
  1,090
  1,166
  1,245
  1,327
  1,413
  1,502
  1,594
  1,691
  1,791
  1,896
  2,005
  2,119
  2,238
  2,362
  2,491
  2,627
  2,768
  2,916
  3,071
  3,233
Maintenance CAPEX, $m
  -47
  -51
  -57
  -63
  -69
  -75
  -82
  -88
  -96
  -103
  -111
  -119
  -127
  -136
  -145
  -154
  -164
  -174
  -184
  -195
  -207
  -219
  -231
  -244
  -258
  -272
  -287
  -303
  -319
  -336
New CAPEX, $m
  -27
  -31
  -32
  -34
  -35
  -37
  -38
  -40
  -42
  -43
  -45
  -47
  -48
  -50
  -52
  -55
  -57
  -59
  -62
  -64
  -67
  -70
  -73
  -76
  -80
  -83
  -87
  -91
  -95
  -100
Cash from investing activities, $m
  -74
  -82
  -89
  -97
  -104
  -112
  -120
  -128
  -138
  -146
  -156
  -166
  -175
  -186
  -197
  -209
  -221
  -233
  -246
  -259
  -274
  -289
  -304
  -320
  -338
  -355
  -374
  -394
  -414
  -436
Free cash flow, $m
  406
  448
  493
  541
  591
  644
  698
  755
  814
  876
  934
  1,000
  1,069
  1,141
  1,216
  1,293
  1,374
  1,458
  1,545
  1,636
  1,731
  1,830
  1,933
  2,041
  2,154
  2,271
  2,394
  2,523
  2,657
  2,798
Issuance/(repayment) of debt, $m
  87
  91
  96
  100
  105
  109
  113
  118
  123
  127
  132
  138
  143
  149
  155
  161
  168
  174
  182
  190
  198
  206
  215
  225
  235
  246
  257
  269
  281
  294
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash from financing (excl. dividends), $m  
  87
  91
  96
  100
  105
  109
  113
  118
  123
  127
  132
  138
  143
  149
  155
  161
  168
  174
  182
  190
  198
  206
  215
  225
  235
  246
  257
  269
  281
  294
Total cash flow (excl. dividends), $m
  493
  539
  589
  641
  696
  753
  812
  873
  937
  1,003
  1,066
  1,138
  1,212
  1,290
  1,370
  1,454
  1,541
  1,632
  1,727
  1,826
  1,929
  2,036
  2,149
  2,266
  2,389
  2,517
  2,651
  2,792
  2,938
  3,092
Retained Cash Flow (-), $m
  -126
  -133
  -139
  -145
  -152
  -158
  -165
  -171
  -178
  -185
  -192
  -200
  -208
  -216
  -224
  -233
  -243
  -253
  -264
  -275
  -287
  -299
  -313
  -326
  -341
  -357
  -373
  -390
  -408
  -427
Prev. year cash balance distribution, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash flow adjustment, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash available for distribution, $m
  367
  407
  450
  496
  544
  595
  647
  702
  759
  818
  874
  938
  1,005
  1,074
  1,146
  1,221
  1,298
  1,379
  1,463
  1,551
  1,642
  1,737
  1,836
  1,940
  2,048
  2,161
  2,278
  2,401
  2,530
  2,665
Discount rate, %
  4.30
  4.52
  4.74
  4.98
  5.23
  5.49
  5.76
  6.05
  6.35
  6.67
  7.00
  7.35
  7.72
  8.11
  8.51
  8.94
  9.39
  9.86
  10.35
  10.87
  11.41
  11.98
  12.58
  13.21
  13.87
  14.56
  15.29
  16.05
  16.86
  17.70
PV of cash for distribution, $m
  352
  372
  392
  409
  422
  432
  437
  439
  436
  429
  415
  400
  382
  361
  336
  310
  282
  254
  225
  197
  170
  144
  120
  99
  80
  63
  49
  37
  28
  20
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0

Robert Half International Inc. provides specialized staffing and risk consulting services. The Company provides these services through its divisions, including Accountemps, Robert Half Finance & Accounting, OfficeTeam, Robert Half Technology, Robert Half Management Resources, Robert Half Legal, The Creative Group and Protiviti. The Company operates through three segments: temporary and consultant staffing, permanent placement staffing, and risk consulting and internal audit services. The temporary and consultant staffing segment provides specialized staffing in the accounting and finance, administrative and office, information technology (IT), legal, advertising, marketing and Web design fields. The permanent placement staffing segment provides full-time personnel in the accounting, finance, administrative and office, and IT fields. The risk consulting and internal audit services segment provides business and technology risk consulting, and internal audit services.

FINANCIAL RATIOS  of  Robert Half International (RHI)

Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio 23.4
Price to Sales 1.5
Price to Book 7.4
Price to Tangible Book
Price to Cash Flow 18.2
Price to Free Cash Flow 22.4
Growth Rates
Sales Growth Rate 3%
Sales - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
EPS Growth Rate %
EPS - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
Capital Spending Gr. Rate 10.7%
Cap. Spend. - 3 Yr. Gr. Rate 9%
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio NaN
Current Ratio 0.5
LT Debt to Equity 0.1%
Total Debt to Equity 0.1%
Interest Coverage 0
Management Effectiveness
Return On Assets 19.9%
Ret/ On Assets - 3 Yr. Avg. 20.3%
Return On Total Capital 32.8%
Ret/ On T. Cap. - 3 Yr. Avg. 33.7%
Return On Equity 32.8%
Return On Equity - 3 Yr. Avg. 33.7%
Asset Turnover 3
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 41.2%
Gross Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 41.2%
EBITDA Margin 11.8%
EBITDA Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 12%
Operating Margin 10.5%
Oper. Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 10.8%
Pre-Tax Margin 10.6%
Pre-Tax Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 10.8%
Net Profit Margin 6.5%
Net Profit Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 6.7%
Effective Tax Rate 38.1%
Eff/ Tax Rate - 3 Yr. Avg. 38.3%
Payout Ratio 33.2%

RHI stock valuation input parameters

Revenue. Company's revenue (or sales) is always the starting point of any cash flow forecast. In the RHI stock intrinsic value calculation we used $5266.789 million for the last fiscal year's total revenue generated by Robert Half International. The default revenue input number comes from 0001 income statement of Robert Half International. You may change it if you feel that it should be adjusted for some unusual circumstances that are not expected to be repeated in the future or if you already know (from interim financial statements, for example) that this year's revenue is going to be quite different.

Revenue growth rate. Forecasted future revenue growth rate is the most important input parameter for the intrinsic value calculation. Unlike other input parameters that are reasonably expected to be in line with their historic averages or their historic trends, the revenue growth rate by and large is a wild card: nobody really knows what the company's revenue will be in the future. Of course, the level of unpredictability is different for different industries (utility companies being the most predictable and, thus, less risky).
    We use three input parameters to forecast the revenue growth rate in our RHI stock valuation model: a) initial revenue growth rate of 11.4% whose default value is the revenue growth rate in the most recent quarter compared to the quarterly revenue a year ago; b) terminal revenue growth rate of 5% whose default value is chosen to be close to the average nominal (i.e. not adjusted for inflation) GDP growth rate; and c) revenue decline factor of 0.9, which stipulates that revenue growth rate in each forecasted year will be equal to the difference of the revenue growth rate in the preceding year and the terminal revenue growth rate multiplied by this revenue decline factor (with the passage of time the revenue growth rate will be approaching the terminal revenue growth rate, but not quite reaching it - though the difference could be infinitesimally small).
    At the revenue decline factor of 1, the future revenue growth rate is forecasted to be constant and equal to the initial revenue growth rate. The smaller the revenue decline factor, the faster the revenue growth rate will approach the terminal revenue growth.

Discount rate. The discount rate is used for determining the present value of future cash flows: future cash flows are "discounted" as at normal conditions (that translate into positive expected return on investment) one dollar today is worth more than the same dollar in the future. Unlike all other valuation models, we use variable discount rate, i.e. it increases for each consecutive year. This is done to account for higher risk of cash flows coming in further in the future.
    The initial discount rate of 4.3%, whose default value for RHI is calculated based on our internal credit rating of Robert Half International, is applied to the cash flow expected to be received a year from now (well, actually, to be precise, in the financial year following the base year - the last year for which we have financial statements). For each consecutive year the discount rate is multiplied by the discount rate multiplier of 1.05, e.i. each year it increases by 5%. Feel free to change this number to correspond to your level of risk assessment of Robert Half International.
    By the way, it is easy to set the discount rate to be constant (this would make comparison with other valuation models easier): just set the discount rate multiplier equal to 1 and chose the magnitude of the initial discount rate to your liking.

Variable cost ratio is the ratio of variable costs (i.e. costs that fluctuate with fluctuation of the volume of production) to the revenue expressed as a percentage. In the calculation of intrinsic value of RHI stock the variable cost ratio is equal to 89.5%.

Fixed operating expenses is just that - expenses that are not dependant on the volume of production. They are set to $0 million in the base year in the intrinsic value calculation for RHI stock. These expenses increase with the level of inflation in subsequent years.

Interest rate on debt is the average all-in rate of interest paid by the company on its debt. It is set at 5.4% for Robert Half International.

Corporate tax rate of 27% is the nominal tax rate for Robert Half International. In reality, companies find ways to pay much less taxes than that or not to pay them at all.

Cash flow adjustment could be used for any adjustment the investor deems necessary. Most commonly we use this field to account for stock options-related effects in excess of what is reported on the company's income statement. The cash flow adjustment is expressed as a percentage of the revenue, and in the current valuation of the RHI stock is equal to 0%.

Production assets are the company's assets used for manufacturing products or provision of services. In the valuation model input table they are expressed as a percentage of revenue and for RHI are equal to 4.9%.

Life of production assets of 5.6 years is the average useful life of capital assets used in Robert Half International operations. It is used to calculate yearly capital expenditures needed to keep these assets in good order - we call it the maintenance CAPEX.

Working capital is the difference between the company's current assets and liabilities. In the model we use the ratio of working capital to revenue, which for RHI is equal to 7.4%. A negative number means that the company is apt at using financial resources of its suppliers and customers; a large positive number, on the other hand, means that it either provides in-kind financing to others or is not good at managing its inventories.

Book value of equity - $1105.265 million for Robert Half International - is used in calculation of the "floor" for intrinsic valuation based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) method. Even if the prospects are very bad for a company, its assets could always be sold now for their current fair market value.

Shares outstanding of 122.445 million for Robert Half International is needed to calculate the intrinsic value of one share.

Market capitalization is used here only for reference purposes and as a quick check that the share price and the number of shares outstanding numbers are correct - something especially to be cognizant about at stock splits. So, the market capitalization of Robert Half International at the current share price and the inputted number of shares is $7.7 billion.

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COMPANY NEWS

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▶ Robert Half Announces Quarterly Dividend   [Jul-31-18 04:30PM  PR Newswire]
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▶ As Unemployment Scrapes 17-Year Lows, Headhunters Fill Niches   [May-21-18 02:14PM  Investor's Business Daily]
▶ Robert Half Announces Quarterly Dividend   [May-01-18 04:15PM  PR Newswire]
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