Intrinsic value of Veeva Systems Cl A - VEEV

Previous Close

$89.65

  Intrinsic Value

$49.34

stock screener

  Rating & Target

sell

-45%

Previous close

$89.65

 
Intrinsic value

$49.34

 
Up/down potential

-45%

 
Rating

sell

We calculate the intrinsic value of VEEV stock by summing up the current values of future distributable cash flows generated by the company and dividing the sum by the number of outstanding shares. As such, the intrinsic value calculation depends entirely on projections. The more accurate your projections of the company's performance are - the more reliable is the intrinsic value calculation result. Please make sure to check the stock valuation input data below and adjust it if necessary. The quality of the output (intrinsic valuation result) is only as good as the quality of the input. See also DISCLAIMERS.

STOCK VALUATION INPUT DATA

Revenue (in 0001), $M
Initial revenue growth rate, %
Terminal revenue growth rate, %
Revenue decline factor
Initial discount rate, %
Discount rate multiplier
Variable cost ratio, %
Fixed operating expenses, $M
Interest rate on debt, %
Effective corporate tax rate, %
Production assets / Revenue, %
Life of production assets, yrs
Working capital / Revenue, %
Revenue / Adjusted assets
Adjusted equity ratio
Cash flow adjustment, % of Revenue
Book value of equity, $M
Shares outstanding, mln
Market capitalization, $bln 10.8

 

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   9
   10
   11
   12
   13
   14
   15
   16
   17
   18
   19
   20
   21
   22
   23
   24
   25
   26
   27
   28
   29
   30
   31

INCOME STATEMENT

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue growth rate, %
  22.40
  20.66
  19.09
  17.68
  16.42
  15.27
  14.25
  13.32
  12.49
  11.74
  11.07
  10.46
  9.91
  9.42
  8.98
  8.58
  8.22
  7.90
  7.61
  7.35
  7.12
  6.90
  6.71
  6.54
  6.39
  6.25
  6.12
  6.01
  5.91
  5.82
Revenue, $m
  839
  1,013
  1,206
  1,419
  1,652
  1,904
  2,176
  2,466
  2,774
  3,099
  3,442
  3,802
  4,179
  4,573
  4,984
  5,411
  5,856
  6,319
  6,800
  7,300
  7,819
  8,359
  8,920
  9,504
  10,111
  10,743
  11,401
  12,086
  12,801
  13,546
Variable operating expenses, $m
  580
  698
  828
  973
  1,130
  1,301
  1,484
  1,681
  1,889
  2,109
  2,328
  2,572
  2,827
  3,093
  3,371
  3,660
  3,961
  4,274
  4,600
  4,938
  5,289
  5,654
  6,034
  6,429
  6,839
  7,267
  7,712
  8,176
  8,659
  9,163
Fixed operating expenses, $m
  60
  62
  63
  64
  66
  67
  69
  70
  72
  73
  75
  77
  78
  80
  82
  84
  85
  87
  89
  91
  93
  95
  97
  99
  102
  104
  106
  109
  111
  113
Total operating expenses, $m
  640
  760
  891
  1,037
  1,196
  1,368
  1,553
  1,751
  1,961
  2,182
  2,403
  2,649
  2,905
  3,173
  3,453
  3,744
  4,046
  4,361
  4,689
  5,029
  5,382
  5,749
  6,131
  6,528
  6,941
  7,371
  7,818
  8,285
  8,770
  9,276
Operating income, $m
  198
  253
  314
  382
  456
  536
  623
  715
  813
  917
  1,039
  1,154
  1,274
  1,400
  1,531
  1,667
  1,810
  1,957
  2,111
  2,271
  2,437
  2,610
  2,789
  2,976
  3,170
  3,372
  3,583
  3,802
  4,031
  4,270
EBITDA, $m
  222
  279
  343
  414
  491
  574
  664
  760
  862
  971
  1,085
  1,204
  1,329
  1,460
  1,597
  1,739
  1,887
  2,041
  2,201
  2,368
  2,541
  2,721
  2,908
  3,102
  3,304
  3,515
  3,734
  3,963
  4,201
  4,449
Interest expense (income), $m
  0
  0
  4
  8
  13
  19
  25
  31
  38
  45
  53
  61
  70
  79
  89
  99
  109
  120
  132
  143
  156
  168
  182
  195
  210
  225
  240
  256
  273
  290
  309
Earnings before tax, $m
  198
  249
  306
  369
  437
  512
  592
  677
  768
  864
  977
  1,083
  1,195
  1,311
  1,432
  1,558
  1,689
  1,826
  1,968
  2,115
  2,268
  2,428
  2,594
  2,766
  2,945
  3,132
  3,327
  3,529
  3,741
  3,961
Tax expense, $m
  54
  67
  83
  100
  118
  138
  160
  183
  207
  233
  264
  293
  323
  354
  387
  421
  456
  493
  531
  571
  612
  656
  700
  747
  795
  846
  898
  953
  1,010
  1,069
Net income, $m
  145
  182
  224
  269
  319
  374
  432
  494
  560
  630
  713
  791
  872
  957
  1,045
  1,137
  1,233
  1,333
  1,436
  1,544
  1,656
  1,772
  1,893
  2,019
  2,150
  2,286
  2,428
  2,576
  2,731
  2,892

BALANCE SHEET

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and short-term investments, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Total assets, $m
  947
  1,143
  1,361
  1,602
  1,865
  2,149
  2,456
  2,783
  3,130
  3,498
  3,885
  4,291
  4,717
  5,161
  5,625
  6,108
  6,610
  7,132
  7,675
  8,239
  8,825
  9,435
  10,068
  10,727
  11,412
  12,125
  12,868
  13,641
  14,448
  15,289
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m
  947
  1,143
  1,361
  1,602
  1,865
  2,149
  2,456
  2,783
  3,130
  3,498
  3,885
  4,291
  4,717
  5,161
  5,625
  6,108
  6,610
  7,132
  7,675
  8,239
  8,825
  9,435
  10,068
  10,727
  11,412
  12,125
  12,868
  13,641
  14,448
  15,289
Revenue / Adjusted assets
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
  0.886
Average production assets, $m
  143
  172
  205
  241
  281
  324
  370
  419
  471
  527
  585
  646
  710
  777
  847
  920
  996
  1,074
  1,156
  1,241
  1,329
  1,421
  1,516
  1,616
  1,719
  1,826
  1,938
  2,055
  2,176
  2,303
Working capital, $m
  -68
  -82
  -98
  -115
  -134
  -154
  -176
  -200
  -225
  -251
  -279
  -308
  -339
  -370
  -404
  -438
  -474
  -512
  -551
  -591
  -633
  -677
  -723
  -770
  -819
  -870
  -923
  -979
  -1,037
  -1,097
Total debt, $m
  72
  154
  245
  345
  455
  574
  702
  839
  984
  1,138
  1,300
  1,470
  1,648
  1,833
  2,027
  2,229
  2,439
  2,657
  2,884
  3,120
  3,365
  3,620
  3,884
  4,160
  4,446
  4,744
  5,055
  5,378
  5,715
  6,067
Total liabilities, $m
  396
  478
  569
  669
  779
  898
  1,026
  1,163
  1,308
  1,462
  1,624
  1,794
  1,972
  2,157
  2,351
  2,553
  2,763
  2,981
  3,208
  3,444
  3,689
  3,944
  4,209
  4,484
  4,770
  5,068
  5,379
  5,702
  6,039
  6,391
Total equity, $m
  551
  665
  792
  932
  1,085
  1,251
  1,429
  1,620
  1,822
  2,036
  2,261
  2,498
  2,745
  3,004
  3,274
  3,555
  3,847
  4,151
  4,467
  4,795
  5,136
  5,491
  5,860
  6,243
  6,642
  7,057
  7,489
  7,939
  8,409
  8,898
Total liabilities and equity, $m
  947
  1,143
  1,361
  1,601
  1,864
  2,149
  2,455
  2,783
  3,130
  3,498
  3,885
  4,292
  4,717
  5,161
  5,625
  6,108
  6,610
  7,132
  7,675
  8,239
  8,825
  9,435
  10,069
  10,727
  11,412
  12,125
  12,868
  13,641
  14,448
  15,289
Debt-to-equity ratio
  0.130
  0.230
  0.310
  0.370
  0.420
  0.460
  0.490
  0.520
  0.540
  0.560
  0.570
  0.590
  0.600
  0.610
  0.620
  0.630
  0.630
  0.640
  0.650
  0.650
  0.660
  0.660
  0.660
  0.670
  0.670
  0.670
  0.670
  0.680
  0.680
  0.680
Adjusted equity ratio
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582
  0.582

CASH FLOW

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income, $m
  145
  182
  224
  269
  319
  374
  432
  494
  560
  630
  713
  791
  872
  957
  1,045
  1,137
  1,233
  1,333
  1,436
  1,544
  1,656
  1,772
  1,893
  2,019
  2,150
  2,286
  2,428
  2,576
  2,731
  2,892
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m
  24
  26
  29
  32
  35
  38
  42
  45
  50
  54
  46
  50
  56
  61
  66
  72
  78
  84
  90
  97
  104
  111
  118
  126
  134
  143
  151
  161
  170
  180
Funds from operations, $m
  169
  208
  252
  301
  354
  412
  473
  540
  610
  684
  759
  841
  928
  1,018
  1,111
  1,209
  1,311
  1,417
  1,527
  1,641
  1,760
  1,883
  2,012
  2,145
  2,284
  2,429
  2,580
  2,737
  2,901
  3,071
Change in working capital, $m
  -12
  -14
  -16
  -17
  -19
  -20
  -22
  -23
  -25
  -26
  -28
  -29
  -31
  -32
  -33
  -35
  -36
  -37
  -39
  -40
  -42
  -44
  -45
  -47
  -49
  -51
  -53
  -56
  -58
  -60
Cash from operations, $m
  181
  222
  268
  318
  373
  432
  495
  563
  635
  711
  787
  871
  958
  1,049
  1,145
  1,244
  1,347
  1,454
  1,566
  1,681
  1,802
  1,927
  2,057
  2,193
  2,334
  2,480
  2,633
  2,792
  2,958
  3,132
Maintenance CAPEX, $m
  -9
  -11
  -13
  -16
  -19
  -22
  -25
  -29
  -33
  -37
  -41
  -46
  -50
  -56
  -61
  -66
  -72
  -78
  -84
  -90
  -97
  -104
  -111
  -118
  -126
  -134
  -143
  -151
  -161
  -170
New CAPEX, $m
  -26
  -29
  -33
  -36
  -40
  -43
  -46
  -49
  -52
  -55
  -58
  -61
  -64
  -67
  -70
  -73
  -76
  -79
  -82
  -85
  -88
  -92
  -95
  -99
  -103
  -107
  -112
  -117
  -121
  -127
Cash from investing activities, $m
  -35
  -40
  -46
  -52
  -59
  -65
  -71
  -78
  -85
  -92
  -99
  -107
  -114
  -123
  -131
  -139
  -148
  -157
  -166
  -175
  -185
  -196
  -206
  -217
  -229
  -241
  -255
  -268
  -282
  -297
Free cash flow, $m
  146
  182
  222
  266
  314
  367
  424
  485
  550
  618
  687
  764
  843
  927
  1,014
  1,105
  1,199
  1,298
  1,400
  1,506
  1,617
  1,731
  1,851
  1,975
  2,104
  2,239
  2,379
  2,524
  2,677
  2,835
Issuance/(repayment) of debt, $m
  72
  82
  91
  101
  110
  119
  128
  137
  145
  154
  162
  170
  178
  186
  194
  202
  210
  218
  227
  236
  245
  255
  265
  275
  286
  298
  310
  323
  337
  351
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash from financing (excl. dividends), $m  
  72
  82
  91
  101
  110
  119
  128
  137
  145
  154
  162
  170
  178
  186
  194
  202
  210
  218
  227
  236
  245
  255
  265
  275
  286
  298
  310
  323
  337
  351
Total cash flow (excl. dividends), $m
  218
  263
  313
  366
  424
  486
  552
  622
  695
  772
  849
  934
  1,021
  1,113
  1,208
  1,307
  1,409
  1,516
  1,627
  1,742
  1,862
  1,986
  2,116
  2,250
  2,391
  2,537
  2,689
  2,848
  3,014
  3,187
Retained Cash Flow (-), $m
  -101
  -114
  -127
  -140
  -153
  -166
  -178
  -190
  -202
  -214
  -225
  -237
  -248
  -259
  -270
  -281
  -292
  -304
  -316
  -328
  -341
  -355
  -369
  -383
  -399
  -415
  -432
  -450
  -469
  -489
Prev. year cash balance distribution, $m
  456
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash flow adjustment, $m
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
  0
Cash available for distribution, $m
  573
  150
  186
  226
  271
  320
  374
  431
  493
  558
  624
  697
  774
  854
  938
  1,026
  1,117
  1,212
  1,311
  1,414
  1,520
  1,632
  1,747
  1,867
  1,992
  2,122
  2,257
  2,398
  2,544
  2,697
Discount rate, %
  4.30
  4.52
  4.74
  4.98
  5.23
  5.49
  5.76
  6.05
  6.35
  6.67
  7.00
  7.35
  7.72
  8.11
  8.51
  8.94
  9.39
  9.86
  10.35
  10.87
  11.41
  11.98
  12.58
  13.21
  13.87
  14.56
  15.29
  16.05
  16.86
  17.70
PV of cash for distribution, $m
  549
  137
  162
  186
  210
  233
  253
  270
  283
  293
  296
  297
  294
  287
  275
  261
  243
  223
  202
  180
  157
  135
  114
  95
  77
  62
  48
  37
  28
  20
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0
  100.0

Veeva Systems Inc. (Veeva) is a provider of cloud-based software solutions for the global life sciences industry. The Company offers solutions for a range of requirements within life sciences companies, including multichannel customer relationship management, regulated content and information management, master data management and customer data. The Company offers solutions to areas, including the Veeva CRM family of applications for multichannel customer relationship management to enable coordinated and personalized customer engagement through multiple touch points; Veeva Vault for regulated content management and information management solutions to enable the management of content-centric processes; the Veeva Network master data management solutions for the management of customer master and product master data, and Veeva's data and data services offerings, including Veeva OpenData for customer reference data and Veeva KOL Data for data.

FINANCIAL RATIOS  of  Veeva Systems Cl A (VEEV)

Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio 179.2
Price to Sales 22.7
Price to Book 18.9
Price to Tangible Book
Price to Cash Flow 85.8
Price to Free Cash Flow 90.9
Growth Rates
Sales Growth Rate 33%
Sales - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
EPS Growth Rate %
EPS - 3 Yr. Growth Rate %
Capital Spending Gr. Rate -63.6%
Cap. Spend. - 3 Yr. Gr. Rate 21.7%
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio NaN
Current Ratio 0
LT Debt to Equity 0%
Total Debt to Equity 0%
Interest Coverage 0
Management Effectiveness
Return On Assets 8.5%
Ret/ On Assets - 3 Yr. Avg. 8.6%
Return On Total Capital 11.9%
Ret/ On T. Cap. - 3 Yr. Avg. 11.8%
Return On Equity 11.9%
Return On Equity - 3 Yr. Avg. 11.8%
Asset Turnover 0.7
Profitability Ratios
Gross Margin 68%
Gross Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 65.5%
EBITDA Margin 22.8%
EBITDA Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 22.2%
Operating Margin 19.9%
Oper. Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 20.4%
Pre-Tax Margin 20.2%
Pre-Tax Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 20.3%
Net Profit Margin 12.7%
Net Profit Margin - 3 Yr. Avg. 12.9%
Effective Tax Rate 37.3%
Eff/ Tax Rate - 3 Yr. Avg. 36.4%
Payout Ratio 0%

VEEV stock valuation input parameters

Revenue. Company's revenue (or sales) is always the starting point of any cash flow forecast. In the VEEV stock intrinsic value calculation we used $685.571 million for the last fiscal year's total revenue generated by Veeva Systems Cl A. The default revenue input number comes from 0001 income statement of Veeva Systems Cl A. You may change it if you feel that it should be adjusted for some unusual circumstances that are not expected to be repeated in the future or if you already know (from interim financial statements, for example) that this year's revenue is going to be quite different.

Revenue growth rate. Forecasted future revenue growth rate is the most important input parameter for the intrinsic value calculation. Unlike other input parameters that are reasonably expected to be in line with their historic averages or their historic trends, the revenue growth rate by and large is a wild card: nobody really knows what the company's revenue will be in the future. Of course, the level of unpredictability is different for different industries (utility companies being the most predictable and, thus, less risky).
    We use three input parameters to forecast the revenue growth rate in our VEEV stock valuation model: a) initial revenue growth rate of 22.4% whose default value is the revenue growth rate in the most recent quarter compared to the quarterly revenue a year ago; b) terminal revenue growth rate of 5% whose default value is chosen to be close to the average nominal (i.e. not adjusted for inflation) GDP growth rate; and c) revenue decline factor of 0.9, which stipulates that revenue growth rate in each forecasted year will be equal to the difference of the revenue growth rate in the preceding year and the terminal revenue growth rate multiplied by this revenue decline factor (with the passage of time the revenue growth rate will be approaching the terminal revenue growth rate, but not quite reaching it - though the difference could be infinitesimally small).
    At the revenue decline factor of 1, the future revenue growth rate is forecasted to be constant and equal to the initial revenue growth rate. The smaller the revenue decline factor, the faster the revenue growth rate will approach the terminal revenue growth.

Discount rate. The discount rate is used for determining the present value of future cash flows: future cash flows are "discounted" as at normal conditions (that translate into positive expected return on investment) one dollar today is worth more than the same dollar in the future. Unlike all other valuation models, we use variable discount rate, i.e. it increases for each consecutive year. This is done to account for higher risk of cash flows coming in further in the future.
    The initial discount rate of 4.3%, whose default value for VEEV is calculated based on our internal credit rating of Veeva Systems Cl A, is applied to the cash flow expected to be received a year from now (well, actually, to be precise, in the financial year following the base year - the last year for which we have financial statements). For each consecutive year the discount rate is multiplied by the discount rate multiplier of 1.05, e.i. each year it increases by 5%. Feel free to change this number to correspond to your level of risk assessment of Veeva Systems Cl A.
    By the way, it is easy to set the discount rate to be constant (this would make comparison with other valuation models easier): just set the discount rate multiplier equal to 1 and chose the magnitude of the initial discount rate to your liking.

Variable cost ratio is the ratio of variable costs (i.e. costs that fluctuate with fluctuation of the volume of production) to the revenue expressed as a percentage. In the calculation of intrinsic value of VEEV stock the variable cost ratio is equal to 69.5%.

Fixed operating expenses is just that - expenses that are not dependant on the volume of production. They are set to $59 million in the base year in the intrinsic value calculation for VEEV stock. These expenses increase with the level of inflation in subsequent years.

Interest rate on debt is the average all-in rate of interest paid by the company on its debt. It is set at 5.4% for Veeva Systems Cl A.

Corporate tax rate of 27% is the nominal tax rate for Veeva Systems Cl A. In reality, companies find ways to pay much less taxes than that or not to pay them at all.

Cash flow adjustment could be used for any adjustment the investor deems necessary. Most commonly we use this field to account for stock options-related effects in excess of what is reported on the company's income statement. The cash flow adjustment is expressed as a percentage of the revenue, and in the current valuation of the VEEV stock is equal to 0%.

Production assets are the company's assets used for manufacturing products or provision of services. In the valuation model input table they are expressed as a percentage of revenue and for VEEV are equal to 17%.

Life of production assets of 12.8 years is the average useful life of capital assets used in Veeva Systems Cl A operations. It is used to calculate yearly capital expenditures needed to keep these assets in good order - we call it the maintenance CAPEX.

Working capital is the difference between the company's current assets and liabilities. In the model we use the ratio of working capital to revenue, which for VEEV is equal to -8.1%. A negative number means that the company is apt at using financial resources of its suppliers and customers; a large positive number, on the other hand, means that it either provides in-kind financing to others or is not good at managing its inventories.

Book value of equity - $906.238 million for Veeva Systems Cl A - is used in calculation of the "floor" for intrinsic valuation based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) method. Even if the prospects are very bad for a company, its assets could always be sold now for their current fair market value.

Shares outstanding of 120.613 million for Veeva Systems Cl A is needed to calculate the intrinsic value of one share.

Market capitalization is used here only for reference purposes and as a quick check that the share price and the number of shares outstanding numbers are correct - something especially to be cognizant about at stock splits. So, the market capitalization of Veeva Systems Cl A at the current share price and the inputted number of shares is $10.8 billion.

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